Showing posts with label power. Show all posts
Showing posts with label power. Show all posts

13 June 2025

Trump plays reckless with the world's trust

 Trump brags on Truth Social about attack on Iran

President Trump invested much into the promotion of his image as a peace president. But his intellectual weakness and consequent susceptibility to 'expert' opinion, coupled with the fact of neocon dominance of US foreign policy and military mindset these last few decades, plus other factors no doubt, have all worked together to seduce Trump into an egregiously distorted view of US military power, and into acceptance of the erroneous "peace through strength" mantra. I believe this claim despite what follows in the next paragraph.

Israel's ongoing strike on Iran appears for the moment to have been very effective, intelligent, and well executed. On the evidence available so far – one part of which is Iranian silence – it looks to be a mighty blow, one Israel is well placed to capitalise on over coming days and weeks. Iran is already under pressure to successfully weather this onslaught.

And yet attacks of this character – surprise, pyrotechnic, awesome, comprehensive – often begin neocon/Israeli wars, or more accurately the military phase of neocon projects (Project Ukraine required a different approach; Russia is a peer rival). But for all their might, intelligence and detailed planning, what follows on their heels has yet to be a stabilisation of the region involved, let alone some manner of 'victory' that reshapes the world such that the US reigns more supremely as a consequence. Over the last four decades of neocon foreign-policy dominance, we have seen an unmistakable evaporation of both US hard and soft power, as well as a decline of its relative economic supremacy. Of course there is more to this story than neocon adventurism, but that in fact underscores the point I'm making. No person or group controls everything.

Even if Israel topples the current Iranian government, what happens next? The BRICS-based world can easily interpret current events as proof positive that the US is utterly untrustworthy. Perhaps tentative trust in Trump was used to deceive Iran and Russia into a false sense of the authenticity of US intentions to reach a deal on the Iranian nuclear-power and nuclear-enrichment programmes. Considering the West's casual disregard of Minsk I and Minsk II, considering its influence on Zelenskyy to walk away from the April/May 2022 peace talks with Russia in Istanbul, and other chicanery besides, all trust is gone. If Iran is toppled, I predict it will be a Pyrrhic victory. Fear holds things stable for a while, but only for a while.

As I've said before, when all you have is an army, everything looks like a war. The militaristic mindset that pervades the neocon perspective, which is in essence little more than "might makes right", is akin to an army, or an intellectual/psychological filtering process that may as well be an army. "Do as we say, or else" is the neocon way. President Trump's 'diplomacy' in the Truth Social post that heads this article oozes that mentality. So much so, the President comes across to me as a boy among (deranged) adults, a boy defenceless against their wiles and psychopathically resolute determination to have the world their way. But all of it is, in my view, in fact the way to ruin.

Roughly the first 50 days of the Trump presidency were hopeful, in my opinion. I believed they were sufficiently strongly anti-war to carry the day. I was wrong. We are now back to the reckless uncertainty of the Biden administration. Permanent-state inertia and ivory-tower arrogance have overcome what I suspect were sincere intentions on Trump's part to do things differently. But Trump's impatience with detail, his insecurities, his lack of intellectual courage, his over-reliance on the wildly unpredictable manner of his social-media 'diplomacy', have hamstrung those intentions, such as they were. It has been one embarrassing gaffe after another, and I am grossly understating the ugliness of what we have witnessed over the last couple of months.

I cannot see how the MAGA movement can continue to support Trump for much longer. I anticipate a split between the populist forces behind Trump on the one hand, and his presidency on the other, as his presidency sinks deeper and deeper under neocon waves. Furthermore, BRICS nations, and especially Russia and China, cannot tolerate a broken Iran. Therefore, the risks of a nuclear conflagration if Iran recovers sufficiently to weather the initial weeks of this strike, especially if Israel then comes to feel existentially threatened by Iran's recovery, are significantly above zero. 

One part of my broader analysis is the faint expectation that a powerfully cohering awakening among the US population – namely to realise that the US permanent-state and intelligence establishment does not have The People's best interests at heart, and that this conglomeration includes US media outlets for the most part, not to mention British and other Western European outlets – might be triggered by a great disillusionment with Trump the Myth, as previously stated in Econosophy pages. But much else would have to hold for this to actually happen. The riots in LA look to be but one part of a broad destabilisation effort aimed at dragging Trump's final term deep into the belly of the neocon beast. Other actions of this type might well be in the works. Coupled with continued degradation of the US economy as AI-rooted technological unemployment gathers pace over coming months and years, could well mean such an awakening of this type has little to no chance of gaining any meaningful momentum.

And yet these are interesting times, one way or the other. Life has about it an irrepressible power to surprise, to deliver the unexpected. This power is deeper than the sort of glittering intelligence that characterises neocon cunning; none of us can be sure what the future will bring. This is an epochal historical moment. Trump's role has proved not be peace maker; he lacks the strength of character and richness of wisdom to do that noble undertaking justice. But this does not mean war will destroy us all, or turn out as its adherents expect. There is many a slip twixt cup and lip, and reality always bats last.

08 March 2025

Love thine enemy: A defence of meekness

Galadriel from Lord of the Rings is tempted by the One Ring
Sauron’s Ring of Power sets Galadriel’s queenly heart aflutter

When I took care of Constantine Oprisan in the cell, I was very happy. I was very happy because I felt his spirituality penetrating my soul. I learned from him to be good, to forgive, not to curse your torturer, not to consider anything of this world to be a treasure for you. In fact, he was living on another level. Only his body was with us—and his love. Can you imagine? We were in a cell without windows, without air, humid, filthy—yet we had moments of happiness that we never reached in freedom. I cannot explain it. – Rod Dreher quoting Father George Calciu, in Live Not By Lies: A Manual For Dissidents in Christian Countries. (UK Edition) (p. 218). Kindle iOS version. (My emphasis.)

The argument against belief in at least a benevolent and good God, or belief in any sort of rational order to the cosmos at all – from the sheer suffering of the innocent, from the sheer darkness of this world – I’ve never taken issue with. I find it the most powerful, and to be honest unanswerable repost to theism. […] As Yvonne Karmatzov[?] argued, given the sheer enormity of the evils we’re talking about, and their reality in the present, deferring the justification for this to some presumed eschatological future doesn’t make the cost any more morally bearable. […] I regard the problem of evil as irresoluble in the terms available to us. – David Bentley Hart.

Story distils truth

The Devil’s hatred flows from his pain, the pain that must attend life because total control will never come. The future that Satan wills is not the future Satan gets. His is a miserable rage, miserable because it is lonely, and lonely because pain hated can birth only dead-end rage. Misery craves company, and in that company seeks partners in crime; it must be right, desperately wants to prove it is right, and in that attempt silence at last its secret and unending doubt. Unwittingly, it metastasises misery and calls its flourishing good. Pain radiates ever outwards from a satanic heart, flickering, blind, creeping across the face of the earth in search of resolution. But it can only fail, right at the tip of its tale, and fall back into the merciless imperfection of God.

God is love. But we are a long way from knowing, feeling, and appreciating what this means. The great distance between us and that knowing cannot be spanned by the intellect. No technology can pave the way. My own guess is that the character of that great distance is described by the command, “Love thine enemy”. It means, in a way, love your pain. 

“Mortal, love your suffering! Fear God and love your suffering!”

The curious interplay of humility and power

“The study of economics pushes people toward a selfish extreme,” he tells me after his class lets out. More to the point, he says, “The scholarship of economics is responsible for spreading a contagion of greed.” – Kravetz, Lee Daniel (quoting Adam Grant). Strange Contagion: Inside the Surprising Science of Infectious Behaviors and Viral Emotions and What They Tell Us About Ourselves (pp. 94-95).  [Added this quote 12.3.2025]

The meek, it is said, will inherit the earth. 

If we want to understand the truth of this Biblical prediction, the key, surely, is to understand “meek”. Having looked into the deeper meaning of this famous phrase, I think it reasonable to suggest that “meek” here denotes a person who accepts reality as it is, all of it, is prepared to work constructively within the realms of the possible. A meek person sees with clear eyes and kneels before the truth. A meek person is not hubristic, not a fantasist. A meek person knows reality  is not what they dream it were or command it to be, and so acts properly in the world, i.e. lovingly, i.e. towards healthful outcomes. Meek, in other words, is a far cry from timid.

(Of course there are other explanations and definitions of “meek”, but this is the one I am adopting for this article.)

One of the main qualities a human needs to become a robust vessel for love, to be able to fully forgive even the most terrible of crimes, is humility. Humility – which I see as functionally, or perhaps operationally, synonymous with meekness – also prevents dehumanisation, enables constructive dialogue, is soul food for healthy community. And yet in a world of seemingly endless convenience and affluence, humility, in its immature guise as idle passivity, seems to guarantee a drifting away from reverential awareness of this loving state of being, a drift that steadily corrodes societal health and cohesion. In other words, it’s hard to appreciate meekness/humility until terrible times are upon us, terrible times brought about, I assert, in part due to our collective failure to appreciate and support meekness/humility throughout our various Western/‘liberal’ cultures.

Perhaps the reason for this lies in the unfortunate paradox hinted at in the above paragraph. On the one hand we have the mysterious human need for suffering as a whip for developing nobility of character. On the other, the power we imagine we need to build the world that can end our terrible suffering creates the very comforts that set in motion the rot that powers our exponential hunger for ever more comfort. Comfort proves to be addictive because we quickly lose our ability to survive without it. As the saying goes, “good times make weak men.” This paradox is what I think of as the power trap.

Staying truly meek – maintaining a healthy relationship with reality – takes continuous effort, much like tending a garden. The rewards are nebulous and in the future. Similarly, “eternal vigilance is the price of liberty”. This knowledge is clearly out there, and yet on the whole we seem incapable of tasting how important it is until it’s too late, doubly so while pampered by technological conveniences and the comforts they bring. 

As history shows, should moral drift continue uncorrected for too long, a whole people can lose its mind. Neoconservative/neoliberal obsession with global hegemony is one form of this, Soviet communism another, Hitler’s fascism another, corporate and billionaire power yet another. Again and again, unspeakable tragedy and evil spill across the pages of history.

Creatures of power and control, we civilised humans seem very good at discovering new ways to grossly undervalue the profound wealth promised by meekness, even though history has mercilessly exacted a terrible price for our folly. I choose to know we actually don’t want it this way, that we’d rather build a nobler, more honest world. I think we’ve fallen into a trap and aren’t sure how to get out. I think meekness/humility is a big part of the answer.

So, are there any meek people in today’s world we might query? We could ask them if are they inheritors of the earth, and perhaps learn what that means in practice. Rod Dreher did precisely this and recorded his findings Live Not By Lies: A Manual For Dissidents in Christian Countries.

Those rare few who suffer greatly and overcome it to tell the tale – such as Father George Calciu, quoted above – emanate an “intense inner peace” (Live Not By Lies, p. 224). Is this peace the inheritance of which the Bible speaks? The intensely peaceful emit unmistakable love, wisdom and soul-health. And though of course the living and undeniable truth of this phenomenon will always defy consensus definition, aren’t these the qualities we ought to develop if we want a healthier relationship with evil, one that greatly inhibits its ability to metastasise into collective storms of wanton destruction? Shouldn’t we take all this more seriously?

In the presence of the truly peaceful, the truly meek, we are profoundly moved. This strongly suggests humans innately know both the character and validity of meekness, of humility. In other words, true meekness is a real phenomenon humans (and perhaps all life) are attuned and drawn to, revere, and can attain

Why, then, do we insist on undervaluing it? 

  • Because it is elusive. 
  • Because we civilised humans deeply mistrust letting go and falling back, faithfully, into the merciless imperfection of it all. 
  • Because suffering – humility’s apparent progenitor in a world of creature comforts – is too unwieldy a phenomenon to implement as a measure for fostering and sustaining humility with mechanical reliability.

Consequently, insidiously, because our civilisational evaluation reflexes understandably favour the concretely measurable over the mysterious and ineffable, we have inexorably measured our way into knowing the price of everything and the value of nothing. Civilisation, among many other things, weaves a womb of cynicism. Cynicism and genuine humility seem to me mutually exclusive. And yet cynicism hollows us out, and in so doing generates a countervailing need for health, authenticity, and peace, qualities that we need humility to attain and sustain. 

Humility is clearly a positive quality; it cannot lust after power, and seeks to help others flourish and thrive, to mature into full adulthood and take responsibility for their lives. It also has the courage to act when it has discerned what needs to be done. No matter how elusive it is, I believe it profoundly unwise to discard humility’s immeasurable value from our sociopolitical ruminations.

I think we are all aware of how these fundamental contradictions have left deep marks on civilisational development, and I think we all intuit their curious interplay, dimly or clearly, in our own turbulent development as individuals. So once again at this blog I ask: 

Is it naïvely idealistic, or even cruel, to imagine and advocate that we re-embrace and revere true meekness, true nobility of character, as a guiding principle in our lives? 

If it is, must we instead meekly accept dehumanisation, war and their evils as unavoidable features of our existence forevermore? Would we be wiser to not waste any more time figuring out how to be meek? Or do endlessly adapted pragmatic compromises, as manifested in ever-evolving international laws, organisations and peace treaties, set up by politicians and lawyers, create the best of all possible worlds? 

Or does this paradoxical line of questioning mislead?

The West cracks as reality’s vice tightens


I’m quite convinced, in the UK these days, that we only reward failure. – Ian Proud, member of HM Diplomatic Service from 1999 to 2023

Pournelle’s Iron Law states that in all cases, the [most incompetent] will always gain control of the organization, and will always write the rules under which the organization functions. – Source

Hegemonic ambition is not meek; it refuses to bow to reality. Hegemony is cracking apart as reality breaks through. Western hubris reached for the whole world again, and is falling back empty handed again.

A few days ago (on 28 Feb 2025), President Trump and Vice President Vance clashed with Zelenskyy in front of live cameras in the Oval Office. The angry squabble seems to mark the end of Zelenskyy’s moment in the sun, and with it hasten Ukraine’s now inevitable collapse. 

From the moment I began looking into the Russia-Ukraine conflict in August 2022, it stank of something incomprehensibly foul and historically pivotal. After two and a half years closely following this soul-destroying tragedy, I am now persuaded it was set in motion by relentless US/UK/Western interference in Ukraine as a hubristic means of getting sufficient control of Russian subsoil assets, in order to recapitalise its existentially desperate banking sector. To this end, Putin has been demonised by the West for decades as global enemy number one; he is a highly competent defender of Russia’s sovereignty and interests and as such has thwarted the West at almost every turn. 

Because the UK/EU’s economies have become too financialized and/or bogged down in bureaucratic kludge, and because the perpetual economic growth the banking system requires – by design – is now impossible for them to sustain absent a huge influx of fresh capital, elements of their political classes / permanent states / banking powers determined long ago to topple Putin shortly after the 1990s scavenging of the Soviet carcass ground to a halt, with US neocons on board as part of their own grand hegemonic plans. Hence continued NATO eastward expansion since the collapse of the USSR despite US promises to the contrary, hence dogged demonisation of Putin et al., and hence the increasingly uniform chorus of reporting by Western media on this pivotal geopolitical tension. One need only examine the overtly antidemocratic events now underway in Romania to get a sense of how vital access to Russian subsoil assets is to the moribund West. 

But all their plans are coming to a tragically costly naught; there is nothing more hubristic and pathocratic than systemically required perpetual economic growth, which is the dynamic of empire. The EU/UK ‘alliance’ is now coming apart at the seams as one set of leaders delicately begins its tricksy political dance of obeisance at the court of King Trump, while the other set triples down on its desperate hubris with plans to rearm, and “pacify” (defeat) Russia militarily. Germany, France, Holland and Austria could hardly be further from a stable political government acting in accordance with the will of their peoples, while Croatia, Hungary and Slovakia have taken decisive turns away from UK/EU intransigence and Romania, Georgia and Serbia are moving strongly – or trying to – in a similar direction.

This resolute inability to accept an unwanted reality is characteristic of a psychopath’s terror of having his abnormality exposed to the world (“tearing down his Cleckley mask”), as we will see in the next section. The possibility that this inability is systemic to the EU leadership due to over-commitment and poor-quality leadership in a high-stakes geopolitical drama, rather than evidence of actual clinical psychopathy in each of the relevant leaders, is one I find interesting. Łobaczewski’s Political Ponerology, which I reference heavily in the next section, doesn’t address it, at least not explicitly. But I intuit that a kind of group pathology can indeed take hold due to circumstances alone, though am unaware of any studies of this possibility in the political space. Perhaps The Corporation: The Pathological Pursuit of Profit and Power is a strong argument that situational or emergent group psychopathy is real. Pournelle’s Iron Law describes an underlying dynamic that might drive such a process.

Is a cold war between the EU/UK and the US now on the cards? Are the EU and UK establishments desperate and ‘psychopathic’ enough to dare such a thing? The extraordinary amount of political, financial, military, media and even psychological capital invested in the grotesque Ukrainian folly will make its unwinding very messy, so messy that I can imagine hostilities persisting doggedly until something fundamental breaks. 

Peace between Ukraine and Russia and a return to good relations between the US and Russia promise harsh geopolitical and geoeconomic demotion for the UK/EU ‘alliance’. As I reasoned in previous articles on this topic, the EU/UK risks becoming an economic and geopolitical backwater if it fumbles this epochal historical moment. The relevant Western establishments show absolutely no sign of meekness, and every sign of hubristic, pathocratic insanity. Based on their current behaviours and commitments, I predict they will fumble; it’s too late for an alternative outcome. I hope UK and EU citizens become alert to this grave danger, namely that powerful and desperate forces are being cornered into choosing militarism over peace, become aware that this path would prove disastrous, and stop it before it explodes.

On the positive side, it is highly probable humanity is now past the existential global danger threatened by the Biden administration’s hubristic fantasies; the Trump administration has stated clearly that the unipolar moment is over, and initiated what will prove protracted and difficult negotiations with Russia – and China and India – to establish a stable multipolar system. I wish all parties well in this endeavour. Peace is not war, and I choose peace.

Another positive is that popular trust in Western authorities continues to evaporate. More and more people want to understand, for themselves, what is going on. A skeptical renaissance is finding its feet on the uneven rubble of this UK/EU/neocon collapse. It is a passionate, anarchic, creative, courageous and meritocratic – though at times ill disciplined – attempt to unearth and examine as much as possible of what has been hidden from view for too long, to make sense of the basic problem, to stop the rot, and to somehow co-create something healthier, saner, more humane. The pressure and electrifying speed of events is driving this endeavour.

For this endeavour to bear good fruit, meekness must be given a central role; we see the catastrophic consequences of unchecked pathocratic incompetence in the tragic destruction of Ukraine and precipitous decline of EU/UK relevance. The Trump administration has made a rapid and welcome return to reality. If Europe and the UK are going to survive the whirlwind they sowed, a similar return is required: meek recognition of, and sober familiarity with, current geopolitical realities. What we stand to inherit if we learn to be meek and vigilant in sufficient numbers is sanity. Sane, managed correction will of course be painful, but far less painful than chaotic collapse.

History moves in mysterious ways. At certain thickly tangled junctures, a sledgehammer is the right tool for the job, just as a slap in the face is sometimes the perfect corrective. But can Trump’s brute hammer blows lead to nobler outcomes, such as of the quality evoked by the quote that heads this article? I want to believe the potential is there; not only does the skeptical endeavour touched on above show great promise, Trump is clearly provoking some much-needed soul searching across Europe:

What is the deep reason for Europe's bewilderment in the face of a devastated Ukraine? Due to its excessive Eurocentric superiority complexes, the EU failed to see, know, or understand that Russia could crush it with a single blow... The hypothesis of the European Union (and actually the absolute certainty) was that Russia is very weak, and Europe is very strong. The war in Ukraine demonstrated Europe's military incompetence compared to Russia. The initial hypothesis was incorrect. Europe bases its policy on strength. Lacking strength, it was left without a policy...

EU countries are confused, as they cannot answer the question: ‘If Russia can easily crush us, then what is our place in the world?’ A traumatised person, when there is no way out, becomes disoriented and often falls into despair.

This is precisely what is happening with Macron, Meloni, Ursula von der Leyen, and other European leaders. They are silent or stammering. European leaders are paralysed by Trump’s decisions because they do not know what to do in this unfamiliar world: a world where the European Union has no deterrent against Russia. It is as if European leaders only learned today that Russia has six thousand nuclear warheads, which it will use in the event of a war with Europe...

In psychoanalysis, the first step in dealing with trauma is to reconnect with reality. Here it is: Russia has politically destroyed the European Union. The European Union is politically dead. It will have to rebuild from this tragic reality. Negotiations between Trump and Putin are a daily humiliation for Europe... It will take time to realise its inferiority compared to Russia. 
– Professor Alessandro Orsini. Trump-Putin. The EU no longer understands its place in the world. Published by “il Fatto Quotidiano”, seen on Twtter/X. (My emphasis.)

The next section draws on material from Political Ponerology by Andrew Łobaczewski to shed a little light on how we got into this mess.

The deep understory of ponerology and psychopathy

Let us remember that [an essential psychopath’s] typical behavior defeats what appear to be his own aims. Is it not he himself who is most deeply deceived by his apparent normality? Although he deliberately cheats others and is quite conscious of his lies, he appears unable to distinguish adequately between his own pseudointentions, pseudoremorse, pseudolove, etc., and the genuine responses of a normal person. His monumental lack of insight indicates how little he appreciates the nature of his disorder. When others fail to accept immediately his “word of honor as a gentleman,” his amazement, I believe, is often genuine. His subjective experience is so bleached of deep emotion that he is invincibly ignorant of what life means to others. – Łobaczewski, A. (2022). Political Ponerology: The Science of Evil, Psychopathy, and the Origins of Totalitarianism [Kindle iOS version]. p. 190. (My emphasis.)

In private correspondence, Łobaczewski wrote to Laura Knight-Jadczyk (editor of the first edition of this book): “For them you are their worst enemy. You are hurting them very painfully. For a psychopath, revealing his real condition, tearing down his Cleckley mask, brings the end of his self-admiration. You are threatening them with destruction of their secret world, and bring to null their dreams of ruling and introducing [a social system where they can rule and be served]. When his real condition is publicly revealed, a psychopath feels like a wounded animal. You are partly right in finding some similarity of the essential psychopath with the thought [processes] of a crocodile. They are somewhat mechanical. But, are they guilty that they have inherited an abnormal gene, and that their instinctive substratum is different from that of the majority of the human population? Such a person is not able to feel like a normal person, or to understand a person bearing a normal instinctive endowment. [It is important] to try to understand the psychopath, and have some pity for them.” – Ibid, p. 302, Editor’s note.

Even psychopaths want to do what’s right. Everybody does. But as diverse individuals, we find it easy to disagree about what right is. The Devil is in the detail. The Devil also lurks on the road to becoming meek. And yet there is always common ground, namely, wanting to do the right thing. In other words, I’m arguing here that our challenge is not insurmountable, as does Łobaczewski. It boils down to how to avoid the ugly temptation of dehumanisation.

On several occasions in Political Ponerology, Łobaczewski compares psychopathy with colour blindness. He repeatedly goes out of his way to point out the almost autonomic character of this accident(?) of nature. Just as it is not my fault I inherited green eyes, it is not the fault of a psychopath that he was born psychopathic. Thus is a psychopath’s ignorance of human nature “invincible”; a leopard cannot change its spots*.

Nonetheless, we each have a responsibility to deal as wisely as we can with the hard fact of psychopathy. I agree that pity, which flows from meekness as we have defined it here, is warranted in service to our responsibility. Otherwise, a kind of Heart of Darkness vector of embittered and entrenched enmity between ‘normal’ and ‘abnormal’ humans gathers intensity and momentum. Now that we have nuclear weapons and other means of global self-destruction, pity and humility could not be more important.

Having read Łobaczewski’s work, I am persuaded ponerogenic factors have corrupted the Western world, an observation shared both by Łobaczewski and the many people interviewed in Live Not By Lies, all of who lived in totalitarianism. But our ponerogenic turn is hardly a surprising development; amassed power can scarcely avoid corrupting itself. The mighty power of the state is an irresistible flame to the psychopathic moth, regardless of party-political costume and bunting. I would even go so far as to suggest power over others has about it the basic character of psychopathy.

There is no line between the elites at the top and the rest below them. The [ponerogenic] entity must have full control at all levels. This is likely particular to a pathocracy. However, the nature of the state and its relationship with power means the seeds of pathocracy are always there ready to insinuate their offshoots into all areas as soon as conditions permit. – Ibid, p. 346. (My emphasis.)

That said, ponerogenic systems are not cut from whole cloth by genius psychopaths advancing the virtues of some new and wondrous ideology; again, we are not dealing with infallible Übermenschen, nor must we burn everything to the ground and start from scratch. There is baby and dirty bathwater here, it’s just a matter of determining which is which. Similarly, Łobaczewski is at pains to point out that one characteristic of pathocracies is their self-destructive incompetence, as hinted at above. It goes roughly like this: A movement emerges due to one or more genuine societal grievances. When the movement offers sufficient promise to effect large-scale change, it attracts various types of psychopath who begin to corrupt it from within. Corruption is, in essence, a collapse vector. Psychopaths lack pivotal sensitivities and abilities needed to understand and fit in healthily with other humans. They fear exposure because, like wolves, they know life is predatory and will kill all threats. To survive and thrive, they have to refashion the world in their image, so corrupt some existing group / movement /political party to that end.

Attraction to a particular movement has little to nothing to do with the cause per se; a psychopath’s deepest need is to be worshipped, obeyed; to be right. The random cause he or she selects to feed this need is a distant second to the need itself. It follows, then, that as time passes, the movement’s original founders are silenced or evicted, and the organisation takes on a progressively sinister and totalitarian aspect as it is corrupted from within. 

In other words, psychopaths did not create the West; the West is not a pathocracy in its essence. Elements within it have been naturally corrupted due to various organic factors pertaining to humanity, victimhood, resentment and discontent, psychopathy, and the power of nation states. The less emotional we are – the meeker we are – about this natural, organic, predictable ponerogenic turn in the West, the more clear eyed and effective we can be as we address it.

For example, draining the current US swamp may simply create a Trumpian swamp. Eternal vigilance is the price of liberty. The US people are already bitterly divided by previous propagandising. The manipulatable weather-vane of paranoid hate spun this way and that by media-fed fear storms can only deepen the challenge we are here discussing. Submitting uncritically to those who cynically manipulate us is not meek, not clear eyed. In stark contrast, the love meekness fosters is the surest way to navigate this devilishly difficult terrain. When we lazily submit to the dark seductions of dehumanisation, vengeance, and hatred, we become fertile soil for a continuing slide into totalitarianism, we become unwitting tools of ponerogenic processes. Only meekness can break us out of this now deadly historical pattern. 

In sifting Western baby from bathwater, we also need to be dispassionate – meek – about the world we have become accustomed to. In communist Czechoslovakia, dissident Christian priests were persecuted, imprisoned and tortured. Some, as adduced above, found it in their hearts to forgive their torturers, and in so doing found a love that created moments of such sublime happiness, they have not found its like in the free world. Can we learn from their hard-earned wisdom and build in lasting appreciation for love in our governance systems, by doing what it takes to create a stable home for love in our hearts? What might that entail?

“It seemed that the less they were able to change the world around them, the stronger they had become,” Križka tells me. “These people completely changed my understanding of freedom. My project changed from looking for victims to finding heroes. I stopped building a monument to the unjust past. I began to look for a message for us, the free people.” The message he found was this: The secular liberal ideal of freedom so popular in the West, and among many in his postcommunist generation, is a lie. That is, the concept that real freedom is found by liberating the self from all binding commitments (to God, to marriage, to family), and by increasing worldly comforts—that is a road that leads to hell. – Dreher, Rod (2024). Live Not By Lies (UK EDITION): A Manual For Dissidents in Christian Countries (p. 224). Kindle Edition. 

What proportion of our wants are manufactured by advertising agencies? In this frantic age, do we know what we really want? Healthy systems, or systems that feed our hedonistic appetites? Can one social system be both? Personally, I suspect not, but I am not here to advocate some ready-made Utopia that would neatly replace what we have. That is the road to dystopia. Again, we need to be meek – clear eyed – about everything. Cherry-picking is anathema to proper meekness.

I find Christianity attractive because of Christ’s command to love our enemies, not because I fancy I could build a perfect ideology from its content. “Love thine enemy” is my three-word Bible. As already argued in this article, that it is possible to honour this instruction is undeniable. That it is also very hard to accomplish is equally undeniable. It is this realistic combination I trust.

Harder still though – perhaps impossible – is to love an entire degenerate system. A relationship with a torturer is intimate, personal, one-to-one. A relationship with a system, an institution, The Blob, etc., is anonymous, impersonal. This is an important distinction. When our enemy is something large, diffuse and distant, we have insufficient information about it, feel impotent, bewildered, victimised, trapped in a Kafkaesque nightmare that is systemically incapable of connecting with us in any human way. If offers us nothing truly human to hold on to. (See Apple TV’s Severance for what I think of as an excellent depiction of a Kafkaesque nightmare.)

We’ve discussed the generalised discontent that breeds the resistance movements that psychopaths co-opt. Much discontent today is generated by bureaucratic machinery that seems incapable of responding humanly to the humans they ostensibly serve. The frustration and tension that encounters with machine-like – psychopathic? – public and private bureaucracies cause can be extreme. When we have to endure this sort of anonymous suffering, meekness and loving forgiveness are as likely an outcome as daisies sprouting from a wall of steel filing cabinets. This is the very suffering that is fertile soil for the totalitarian evil from which heroes rise to warn us of the evils of totalitarianism. 

Must we therefore repeatedly endure collective hell to produce the heroes we need to prevent its emergence? I certainly hope we are not caught on the horns of that tautological dilemma. David Bentley Hart regards the problem of evil as “irresoluble in the terms available to us.” I humbly beg to differ. It is not God that permits evil as part of some mysterious plan, it is the totality of what existence is that has failed to come to healthy terms with evil. Humanity is part of that ‘failure’, but our time is not yet done. 

We are not puppets; we are free to err. We are still learning, still creating new situations to learn from. This evolutionary process need not be eschatological; I find it more helpful to picture it as organic. Part of how we handle the problem of evil is by developing the wisdom – the meek courage – to face it and not blanche. In part, this means the courage to humanise evil, to naturalise it, and then go on to develop better understandings of and relationships with its emergence, functioning, and relevance. This is what Łobaczewski advocates.

To be the sort of hero Križka is looking for to face this mighty challenge, we must act in some way. But acting against a large, remote, non-self-aware system, especially something as amorphous as The Blob or the EU, requires the creation of a movement: an organisation with a goal. Setting up an organisation powerful enough to resist The Blob comes with all the dangers discussed above.

As a movement grows in power, so it attracts attention from those poor souls we call psychopaths. Knowing this eventuality is probably unavoidable, and understanding how to respond effectively to this threat, are essential skills we must develop and internalise. Humility will be one of its components. Of course this is a group effort, and one very difficult to sustain. It’s one thing for the scientific method to enforce methodological humility on its practitioners – and we can see how corruptible even science is under the influence of ideology or corporate interests; the hot emotionality of what passes for scientific discussion today beggars belief –, quite another for a stressed, underfunded, imperfectly staffed organisation to keep everyone involved honest, open-minded and humble. 

But perhaps one curious fact is grounds for a little optimism. Much like the Biblical Devil, psychopaths respect genuine courage and strong, open and full honesty. All of us, even psychopaths, know love when we finally encounter it. Because this is so, part of being a Križka hero in the quest that is human existence is developing the courageous self-honesty of meekness. It is a moral responsibility we all have as non-psychopaths. The higher the percentage of us aware of these things and prepared to act constructively on that awareness, the more likely it is that an incorruptible response to the challenge of evil will be mounted.

Conclusion

What does it profit a man to gain the whole world, and lose his soul?

The character of a challenge can be simple to discern without making it easier to overcome. But knowing the nature of a task often plays an essential role in successfully mastering it. You cannot be a fantasist and truly love your enemy. You cannot have hubristic ambition to control the world and love your enemy.

In the film The Matrix, humanity’s AI overlords discover that their human slaves cannot thrive in paradise. It recreates the tawdry mess and bustle of our current modernity, whereupon things begin to function properly. In Starman, Jeff Bridges’ character, an alien, shares what he likes most about humanity: “You’re at your best when things are at their worst.” These are of course cliches, but that doesn’t mean they miss the bullseye. It simply means such observations have been made by many and stood the test of time.

In The Wizard of Oz, the heroes’ terrifying enemy, the Great Oz, is revealed as a frightened old man pulling levers and pushing buttons behind a thick curtain. Much the same sort of truth is exposed in ancient tales like The Fisher King, or even Hans Christian Andersen’s The Emperor’s New Clothes. And while it may seem egregiously trite to wave away the truly horrific depravity and unspeakable evil hundreds of millions have been forced to endure in recent history, I believe things have become as bad as they are because we have not been sufficiently vigilant. We have not been sufficiently vigilant because our wisdom and meekness have atrophied greatly as civilisation’s mechanical prowess has advanced at their expense. In tandem with our incredible powers of mass-psychological manipulation, mass surveillance, mass production and mass destruction, evil has thrived to assume mountainous and terrifying proportions.

We look up at its hideous strength, and pale. 

And yet what needs to be done now is the same as it always has been: to be as wise as serpents and as gentle as doves. Wise humility may be hard to achieve, but it is the core challenge that for me best describes humanity’s noble purpose. I’m not suggesting anything new or fantastical.

Because necessity is the mother of invention, and because the profound adjustments required are towards health and sanity, I’d say the odds are in our favour. It is as yet unclear how costly these adjustments will prove, but the gravity of life itself is on their side.


* For the sake of brevity, I’m reducing the wide variety of psychopathic types Łobaczewski discusses to what he terms the “essential psychopath”. Because this type is obviously the purest, it best serves our purposes as the model for the nature of the challenge psychopathy represents.

24 July 2024

The Power Trap: a common-sense look at power and natural authority

(Part II)

The face of humanity’s most powerful nation (left image from CNN, right from Evan Vucci / AP Photo)

The use of coercion is the sign of a lack of authority. – John T. Sanders

[The state is the] only human Gemeinschaft which lays claim to the monopoly on the legitimate use of physical force – Max Weber

Those who make peaceful revolution impossible will make violent revolution inevitable. – John F. Kennedy

Power is, in part, the actionable potential to forestall correction. – Me

Preamble

Our planet’s most powerful nation has been able to pull the wool over its own, and much of the Western world’s eyes for so long (one of many risks that come with propaganda), Biden’s performance in 2024’s first presidential debate ‘shocked’ US legacy media outlets; at the time of writing they are in protracted meltdown, as is the Democratic party itself. For those to whom it has been clear for years that Biden has been suffering severe cognitive decline, the fact of US-legacy-media publicised shock is itself a shock (or at least a surprising oddity). From still another perspective, this inter-folded shock demonstrates how the power to forestall correction – the power to sustain self- and group-deception – must unravel at some point; reality bats last. 

At the level of the individual bully, fallout from correction to his/her precious alpha status can be bad. At the level of a mighty colonial nation enjoying (almost) monopoly power over geopolitical realities for decades – and in terms of Western civilisation, for centuries –, the fallout from correction is historic, epochal, maybe even Biblical. I believe we are living through such a moment, and have been arguing this for the last two years or so, far longer with a more generalised perspective on potential global change. And while I have erred in timing details – put that down to my idealistic wishful thinking – I’m confident I’m right about the broader trend, on which I am far from alone.

Is this merely part of a cyclical process that is historical in a fundamental way? If yes, can we learn from it and improve society despite this cyclicality, such that a manner of spiralling or ‘progress’ is effected? If not, would a nihilistic or even satanic mindset – it’s all just a game; do whatever you want! – be a more rational response?

(In what follows, I cast “power” as Bad, “natural authority” as Good. Others cast “authority” in the bad role, as in authoritarianism. This is semantics. What matters is the effectiveness of the definitions in terms of how they are then developed and what light that development throws on the whole.)

Introduction

Assertion: A state requires (almost) monopoly power to act as the state. Without (almost) monopoly power, the state cannot survive across generational time. However, the power required by a state to act effectively as a state inexorably corrupts that state towards collapse.

In theory, state power comes from the people. Those who actually wield and jealously guard state power, however, represent a tiny percentage of said people. Should all available power be distributed evenly across all individuals of a people, that people could not constitute a state; states are hierarchical. And while an individual of John F. Kennedy’s sensibilities can indeed become president and seek to expose how power corrupts and relinquish much state power to the people, look what happened to him. Moreover, the right to bear arms in the US, enshrined in its constitution precisely to mitigate the state’s power, is not truly effective in that purpose. The US state is, in my view, a de facto monopoly on power because, despite several constitutional provisions designed to constrain it, it has had to become far more than merely “Government of the people, by the people, for the people” to remain cohesive and effective. Today, the (US) state is: 

  • corporate-governmental interconnectivity and thus mass media and attendant propaganda/PR operations, 
  • ‘elite’ control of money creation and financial institutions and corporations, 
  • intelligence agencies and the infamous MIC, 
  • the education/university establishment, 
  • colonial interests and investments, 
  • etc.,

which amounts to a partly fractious but sufficiently cohesive whole whose establishment was possible precisely because the US state had sufficient power to establish it. Armed citizens cannot properly constrain that breadth and depth of interconnected power – much of which is insidious, all of which is ferociously defended – at least not to the degree that that power is prevented from corrupting everything it touches, by degrees, mostly unnoticed, over time. I’m arguing that power – as defined herein – is the systemic ‘heat’ that slowly absorbs power from the people. No one notices clearly enough as corruption stealthily, cumulatively, and in part unintentionally, perverts what the people most cherishes. 

This pattern of creeping perversion is discernible in a concomitant and slow erosion of quality across multiple spectra (e.g. “crapification”):

Pournelle’s Iron Law of Bureaucracy states that in any bureaucratic organization there will be two kinds of people: those who work to further the actual goals of the organization, and those who work for the organization itself. Examples in education would be teachers who work and sacrifice to teach children, vs. union representative[s] who work to protect any teacher including the most incompetent. The Iron Law states that in all cases, the second type of person will always gain control of the organization, and will always write the rules under which the organization functions. – Source (my emphases) (I would add that all organisations have a bureaucratic facet.)

As I put it in a recent post, “Mediocrity metastasises in the absence of meaningful corrective feedback.” In my view, Pournelle’s law reflects power’s core dynamic, a dynamic that ensures both the establishment and subsequent corruption of an unaccountable/unelected permanent state within the broader state, which then corrupts the host nation as a whole. This dynamic is a predictable – because systemic – consequence of the mechanics of self-preservation (fear), where “self” in this case is a very large group.

To be permanent – to preserve itself across time –, a permanent state needs ever more power to: 

  • conceal its inevitable wrongdoings, 
  • demonstrably prevent accidents and tragedies to prove its utility, 
  • command respect from those it instructs and so maintain national stability/cohesion, 
  • castrate or destroy inevitable radical opposition (more below), 
  • etc. 

In essence, these and other factors keep the state functional, alive, effective. Self-evidently, the state fears that any erosion of its power – its lifeblood, its effectiveness – would be the beginning of a slippery slope to its eventual demise. And though this instinct may initially be rational or proportionate to the systemic pressures generated by a large hierarchical society, it can become paranoia, especially as the state’s propaganda, censorship and narrative-control actions boomerang on it and blind it to reality (power as ivory tower). What happens, I sense, is that a kind of negative wisdom develops – instincts, skills, dark arts and statecraft, knowledge – that ensures the accumulation of the vast amounts of power needed to keep the state project going.

That a permanent state must emerge for a state to remain successfully effective over generational time is surely non-controversial; this is, after all, what “permanent state” means, and explains why a people would compose a constitution precisely to prevent abuse of accumulated power. It is similarly clear (at least to me) that a civilisation’s or state’s instinctive conception of power – apparently encoded in its ‘DNA’ as a consequence of its hierarchical structure – necessitates this corrupting patterning. (See Graeber and Sahlin’s On Kings for the deep history – you could even say basic group psychology – behind all this. See also Graeber’s The Utopia of Rules: On Technology, Stupidity, and the Secret Joys of Bureaucracy to get a clear sense of the inevitability of bureaucracy and how it interconnects with power.)

I do not hold that any of this is inherently good or bad in an unequivocal way. It could be, for example, that humanity cannot do significantly ‘better’ than the US constitution. It may well be that civilisational ascent and decay will continue to describe the fate of all forms of governance (more on cyclicality below). Obviously, the survival of the United States of America as a representative democracy cannot be guaranteed simply because it has a well composed constitution; moral decline towards tyranny will surely remain possible regardless of any constitution humanity can produce. It is similarly possible that other governance forms, e.g. that in China or in Russia or in Thailand, are ‘superior’ to Western models, though deciding how to weight the relative merits of each form can only be a subjective process: Gross Domestic Product, or Purchasing Power Parity, or Gross National Happiness, or some other measure?

Furthermore, technological, historical and paradigmatic change cumulatively present challenges to human governance systems that are, from time to time, epochal. That this is such a time is the position I examine at this blog. To reiterate the components of this thesis: 

among many other factors, jointly apply enormous pressure on existing governance structures, such that radical change will be forced upon us whether we like it or not. In my view, these phenomena constitute the deep backstory for today’s epochal historical turbulence. I also believe that materialism is on its last legs.

Whatever the case, this last point is why I write in the first place: 

Wisdom, love and health should be systemically prioritised across the Western world. 

Should mindful and conscious promotion of this trinity (wisdom, love, health) to a prominent position in Western culture require radical change, I’m fine with that. If not, that would be even better. 

This article is an attempt to shed slightly different light on this pivotal subject matter.

Signs of the times 

The recent Biden-Trump debate is exemplary evidence of this article’s opening assertion. 

The DNC, a political organisation tightly allied with most Western media outlets, gaslighted the Western world for almost four years by insisting, aggressively and relentlessly, that Biden was fit to be president. His nomination in 2016 was, allegedly, part of an effort to keep Bernie Sanders from becoming the nominee, and this despite concerns around Biden’s cognitive fitness explicitly raised by US legacy media and Democratic politicians at the time. Similar DNC manipulations – e.g. preventing any serious challenge to Biden, preventing debates between candidates, changing primary rules midstream to keep Robert F Kennedy out of the race – almost fused Biden to the 2024 nomination, and yet that abuse of democratic processes backfired; a strange ‘coup’ has just forced Biden from the race, perhaps illegitimately: How legally binding are tweets? Can we prove who issued them? And these actions may well be unconstitutional as well as illegitimate – is government by tweet constitutional?

(“In 2024, democracy is on the ballot.”)

Taking this and the attempted assassination of Trump into account, it is not unreasonable to assert a multifaceted coup is underway in the US, co-belligerents including but not limited to: the president’s political party, its major donors, and a US legacy media now so habituated to anonymous sources it may as well be an uncritical mouthpiece for the government.

Let all that sink in. When it sinks in, imagine what this is doing to the credibility of the United States of America.

These events are self-evidently the fruit of corruption, of a power struggle, which – I’m arguing – is itself the fruit of amassing excessive power in pursuit of self-preservation for its own sake, as opposed to fostering and celebrating natural authority (more below).

Acts of this sinister character could destroy the Democratic party, at least in its current form, and perhaps the United States itself through civil war. Massed power will not lightly relinquish its power, and self-destruction is virtually assured if you manage to forestall needed correction to your behaviours for too long. That much of the Republican party has played along with Democrat/establishment/permanent-state plotting and intriguing – though the recent assassination attempt on Trump, and Trump naming Vance as his vice-president for the 2024 presidential race have rallied the Republican party firmly to Trump’s more ‘populist’ – slightly less establishment – banner, and thus against what is termed the RINO (Republican in name only) faction – speaks volumes about an establishment cadre that has lost touch with reality. That Europe and the UK have also hitched their fortunes to this reckless insanity – a geopolitical posture on which the UK’s Prime Minister Kier Starmer recently doubled down when he vouched for Biden’s perspicacity and sharp political skills in mid July this year – speaks equal volumes about their wisdom and levels of corruption, and may well cost them dearly in coming years (depending on how events play out over the next incredibly dangerous 18-24 months). 

The assassination attempt on Trump is equally redolent of too much power in too few hands. As a conspiracy theorist, I’m prepared to accept the possibility that some conspiring by some people in power was involved in the attempt, people in power who deem Trump too unpredictable and vengeful to trust. As a conspiracy theorist, I am also prepared to accept that the corruption that attends monopoly power could suffice on its own to explain the astounding incompetence of the security services in securing the venue at which Trump gave his speech, though this is the less likely explanation in my view. At the moment, there is too little information to know for certain. Whatever the truth as to how and why this attempt took place, some manner of corruption, caused by an excess of power in too few hands, has again been on naked display for all the world to see.

The way Western legacy media reported the assassination attempt in its immediate aftermath is also evidence of power-based corruption. By downplaying its significance, they have further damaged their credibility in the public’s eyes. Had the attempt been on Biden, MSM reporting would have been very different. The pervasive anti-Trump bias is egregious, and is not journalism; it includes reckless assertions that Trump is an existential threat to America and democracy (in my view, J6 was clearly not an attempted insurrection), reckless because of how polarising and exaggerated such assertions are. Metastasising use of anonymous sources – narrative control by leaks to a compliant press – further destroys MSM credibility. The general rot is illustrated by BBC journalist David Aaronovitch, who tweeted that Biden should “murder” Donald Trump. If this was indeed satire as Aaronovitch claims, it would still not be commensurate with neutral journalism as I understand it; an attempt on Czech president Fico’s life occurred in a similarly polarised atmosphere just weeks ago, an ugly event of which Aaronovitch, a journalist, should have been properly aware.

We have a right to expect neutral reporting from all media outlets; partisan reporting polarises. I find it wholly inappropriate for journalists to announce their love of, or revulsion for, a president or politician, or any public figure. And there should be no hint of derision or support for viewers’ opinions and biases from any news-media outlet, no suggested tribal camaraderie, no virtue signalling, etc. Obviously, each of us is best able to form intelligent and well-informed views by being well informed. This requires neutral reporting, being widely read, and engaging in dispassionate discussion with others. I am deeply suspicious of all agenda-driven journalism that does not repeatedly disclose its biases and make attempts to mitigate them, that does not go out of its way to foster dispassionate discussion of all cogent and rational perspectives.

Consequently, journalistic decline lies behind another power-based and ugly sign of the times; people are at each other’s throats on matters like Biden and Trump, as well as many others such as vaccines, viruses, lockdowns, masks, etc. Partisan, agenda-driven reporting is culpable here, among other factors such as increasingly politicised education, and corporate vested interests. That dispassionate discussion of such issues is impossible to find speaks clearly to the quality of wisdom available culturally across the Western world, a quality of wisdom apparently willing to risk nuclear war, and with it humanity’s extinction, in ‘defence’ of Western hegemony, aka power. 

How easy it is to find dispassionate discussion on hot topics in the non-Western world is unclear to me. I suspect from my limited exposure that state-based, religion-based and monied power holds similar sway over public discourse, if not more, in the non-Western world. But its historical/national contexts are different. What is ugly about the West’s creeping propensity to censor and attack non-establishment views is its continued crowing about its enshrined freedoms as a moral accomplishment it continually references as justification for its policing of the non-Western world. To my knowledge, the non-Western world does not make similar claims to moral superiority as justification for interference in the affairs of other nations.

For the record, I am strongly in favour of freedom of speech; it ensures corrective feedback from others. In other words, your opportunities to correct towards healthier, wiser approaches to life are richer and more plentiful where freedom of expression is respected. Freedom of speech is how a people can speak truth to power, which is a dialogue that lowers the chance that any person’s or grouping’s power will become excessive. Speaking truth to power is how a people can stay in touch with itself and its quality of wisdom, its state of health. It helps to ensure that cultural skills involving dispassionate discussion of difficult topics and issues are kept honed and effective, meaning correcting problems or developing social dysfunctions is likely to occur before enforced correction becomes destructively turbulent and costly on multiple levels.

There is so much more I might reference to illustrate my point, but I think it reasonable to assert on the evidence presented that there is something about power – not natural authority wisely managed – that encourages group-based, irrational, visceral enmity, enmity that becomes almost impossible to heal as corruption roots itself ever deeper into a given society or culture. 

Why might this be so? 

One short answer could be that only low-wisdom types hunger for power. Power is a manifestation of low wisdom at the cultural level. Low wisdom equates to low humility. Low humility suggests high insecurity, concealed low self-esteem (imposter syndrome) and a consequent cowardly addiction to social status. This quality of wisdom will choose to forestall correction if it possibly can; increasing your power over others raises the probability you can successfully forestall correction by having more and more control over your world. Successfully blocking feedback from reality (correction) in this way, sustained for long enough, will slowly drive you mad, so slowly you won’t notice. This is, of course, equally true at the level of nation state, internationally, and at bloc level, i.e. the dangerous tensions between NATO and BRICS. What is interesting – and unanswered in my view – is whether the BRICS bloc is somehow wiser, collectively, than the Western hegemon, because the power it has at its disposal is further from absolute than the West’s; are they less able to forestall correction, and thus more sane, and thus wiser? And, if the BRICS bloc actually becomes hegemonic, will it too go mad in roughly the same manner as the West, and other states/civilisations before it (see historical cyclicality below)? Or will its advertised intention to remain a loose, trade-based affiliation of nation states kept together by mutual advantage – multipolarity – prove more effective at impeding hegemonic power than, say, the US constitution? Time will tell. If we’re lucky and Trump’s mercurial capacities allow it – such as they are –, his administration might manage to stop the West’s insane drift towards global nuclear war. I am far from confident that Harris has the ability or even desire to steer the US away from this horrifying outcome.

Power is a positive feedback loop

Based on the above, I think it fair to say that power coddles and protects, shields us from the “slings and arrows of outrageous fortune”. It turns us into spoilt brats; we become emotionally volatile, paranoid, entitled. But is it also a positive feedback loop?

Any monopoly on power breeds determined opposition to that power; who wants to be forever under the boot of some other entity’s whims and wisdom? Just watch as a baby grows into childhood, and then into adulthood; its will to independence is almost unbreakable and utterly unmistakable. This is true for all life forms, whether as ‘individual’ animals, or hive insects and flock animals as masses, or even as vegetation. Sustained power over others, therefore, cannot help but become a red flag to the determinedly opposed bull it must birth merely by virtue of its existence. 

As the saying has it: “Respect existence or expect resistance!”

For any opposition to oppressive power to be effective in its ambitions to break free, it must acquire sufficient power to mount an effective challenge. Power is thus necessarily insatiable in its systemic need to defend itself against the opposition it cannot help but inadvertently create; this is a classic positive feedback loop. Furthermore, as the price of losing power grows because of so much energy and resources invested in accumulating that power, and so much booty appropriated by means of that power, and so much corruption caused that needs to stay hidden, so the need to defend it at all costs grows. Decisions are entangling investments in the future, especially in the absence of corrective feedback.

In simpler words: If I have power over you, you are going to want to break free. To break free, you will seek to gain sufficient power to do so. Because I ‘need’ to have power over you – why else would I go to the trouble? – your growing power threatens me existentially. I then strive to acquire more power to effectively defend my position. Rinse and repeat = positive feedback loop. Monopoly power is a long-running positive feedback loop that must corrupt itself until it collapses under its own consequent imbecility.

(If, instead of contest, an oppressed person adopts something along the lines of a Stockholm Syndrome response, that would establish a fragile, unspoken pact in which the involved parties ‘conspire’ to forestall correction. The severity of the collapse of this pact would be proportionate to how long the parties manage to forestall the inevitable correction, among other factors.)

In the human realm of the state, part of this feedback loop is how the social body is poisoned by increasingly mendacious propaganda as a state’s inevitable self-corruption (Pournelle’s Iron Law) requires ever tighter narrative control to conceal its corruption, its mendacity, its creeping betrayal of its duty to its people. The tighter the narrative control, the less accurately that narrative reflects reality; ever more of reality must be filtered out, denied, rejected, censored. If a state is ‘successful’ in this endeavour, it inadvertently cuts itself off from reality through its fierce control over what is permissible subject matter, and the full truth becomes more and more toxic to permanent-state interests and survivability. Though a state does not intend it, though a state may make best efforts to keeps its finger on society’s pulse, the more control it exerts over its population, the less able the population is to honestly communicate to state power how it feels; speaking truth to power becomes riskier and riskier. This state of affairs is neither pleasant nor healthy for all involved. As the situation worsens – as it must – so determined opposite becomes inevitable. “Those who make peaceful revolution impossible will make violent revolution inevitable.”

It follows, then, that power, as I define it here, is constrained by its nature to loathe wisdom and natural authority, and pretty much everything else that is healthful and health-restoring (correcting). Power’s most fundamental patterning is to sustain itself in order to expand itself, indefinitely, for the systemic reasons set out above. It is in effect an addiction perpetuated by its own fundamentally unhealthy compulsion to control everything, precisely because it is constrained by its nature to prize itself over everything else. It must perceive Other as enemy; power is necessarily about opposition, and oppressing that opposition indefinitely. Opposition, in this sense, includes correction, i.e. paying your debts. (That we can also, cartoonishly, paint narcissism, sociopathy and psychopathy in these colours is more than coincidental.)

If, then, civilisation and the state are systemically constrained to create the desire for, and subsequent reality of, power over others, must humanity remain subject to power’s cyclical dawn-to-decadence vicissitudes while we perpetuate the state and our civilisational vector? 

Is it naïve and utopian of me to expect something healthier?

Is historical cyclicality inevitable?

Polybius’ cycle of history (anacyclosis)

Hard times create strong men. Strong men create good times. Good times create weak men. And, weak men create hard times. – G. Michael Hopf

Nothing ever goes away until it teaches us what we need to know. – Pema Chodron

[This section is something of an excursion you may skip if you agree with the point I’m trying to defend in it, namely: History is cyclical and includes cultural wisdom as a form of (very fitful) progress.]

Chaos (not in image) ➜ monarchy ➜ tyranny ➜ aristocracy ➜ oligarchy ➜ democracy ➜ ochlocracy ➜ chaos …

Curiosity ➜ slow mastery ➜ automation/internalisation ➜ breakdown/decadence ➜ curiosity …

My aims in this section are: to argue for the veracity of cyclicality generally (though more narrowly in human history); that cyclicality (of various hues) is fundamental to reality; and that wisdom is a real, albeit not guaranteed, fruit of challenge and shock. I argue that the very fact of wisdom implies a wisdom-evolution potential to historical cyclicality, i.e. history rhymes more than it repeats. However, history’s ‘spiralling’ can of course cause wisdom’s erosion – wisdoms can most assuredly be forgotten –, as well as its evolution (progress), in both cases very unevenly across individuals of a given culture. Which is the more prevalent character of history’s spiralling I leave to the reader.

Historical and other types of cyclicality are discernible, many argue, in all cultures’ literature, story telling and myth making. How important is this if true? Are there fundamental exceptions? If there are, do we find a mutually exclusive difference of perspectives that indicates arbitrary interpretations of reality, from which it would be unreasonable to deduce universal truths?

Polybius’ anacyclosis is perhaps the first academic identification of a grand historical cycle. Each of its stages manifest a dawn-to-decadence pattern that drives it onwards individually towards collapse into the next stage, as does the cycle as a whole. In essence, some discomfort (chaos or historical shock/breakdown) forces creativity that births a new system and thus an initial flowering period or golden age, which slowly fades in honour and vitality to lead back into breakdown/chaos/shock, which initiates another cycle or a subsequent stage within the larger cycle. 

The second arrow-connected cycle above is my feeble attempt at boiling anacyclosis down to something yet more fundamental (the bolded stage will be explicated in a subsequent post). Its appearance here is to thought-provoke.

The Hero’s Journey, in evidence across much of human mythology, is another fundamental cycle suggestive of a somewhat similar cyclical patterning. Seasons are another cycle, though they differ at different planetary latitudes. Then there are lunar cycles, menstruation cycles, and so on. In other words, cycles are not difficult to discern. If anything, they are hard to miss.

But not everything is cyclical, even in Western literature: Hamlet is a flat, linear progression that does not result in a transformation of character. Kishōtenketsu – a Japanese story vector – is an example of a non-cyclical structuring: Ki = introduction. Shō = development. Ten = twists, the unexpected. Ketsu = the ending. This structure sets things up, causes a shock, the characters absorb the shock, the end. Whether or not we, as readers, can impute satisfactory meaning to the story is left entirely to us, is thus external to the story itself. Whatever readers learn from such stories, the characters do not mature from their experiences; they simply undergo one or more odd events, events that need not make any sense. The story’s attraction is its oddity, not some implied or explicated transformational meaning. Westerners seem to want to impose meaning on events, to imbue their literature with explicit meaning, with instructive moral lessons, etc. This appears to be far less the case in Japan, and I would guess elsewhere in the non-Western world, but I am far from expert in this subject matter, so will not go into it any deeper. (Though I do note Germany’s Kleist adopted a similar story pattern for his literature, and that much modern German literature adopts similarly non-heroic, non-transformational story vectors.) 

Do such exceptions suggest that observed historical cyclicality is in fact an arbitrary and misleading observation that is culturally subjective rather than universal?

On what little I know of this subject matter, I’m going to make a bold assertion. Such philosophical postures, or perhaps cultural reflexes manifesting as distilled observations, or techniques for encoding wisdom across generations, are not mutually exclusive; I suggest they don’t even clash. In Kishōtenketsu, for example, a shock stirs things up. This forces a reaction. For the reaction to be effective in some way, it must be intelligent and coherent, which is synonymous with meaningful, “meaningful” in the sense of appropriate to the broader context. Any successful or health-restoring response to a shock must fit well to the situation, must be accepted by the environment that has to host it, sustain it. This includes, I suggest, sanguine shrug-like responses that sweep things under the rug and so afford a full return to the old normal, with characters learning nothing more than a re-confirmation of their “shit happens” philosophy. These, too, are meaningful responses, albeit the nadir-deep antithesis of heroic, character-transforming responses. 

Regardless of story pattern, fitness of response – in the sense I’m aiming at here – is an ‘evolutionary’ element requiring coherent meaning making within the constraints of some environment, an environment necessarily composed of competing/cooperating meaning makers that somehow create a story’s tension and relief. Historical cyclicality at the scale implied by Polybius – which I am suggesting is evolutionary or spiralling rather than non-progressively or flatly cyclical – is thus the unaddressed context that serves as a hidden backdrop or meta-environment, which is required to accommodate Kishōtenketsu literature in a meaningful way, i.e. to make it palatable, valued, enjoyable, by a culture. We could argue that the shocks are containable due to the background wisdom available culturally to the story’s characters and readers, and thus net neutral where wisdom is concerned. That such shocks do indeed occur in life does not preclude the occurrence of shocks that cannot be contained by the cultural wisdom available, that therefore a step up in one’s wisdom, skills or character is required to process and survive them, otherwise collapse/failure is the result.

Another style or facet of Japanese literature I am aware of, that also reenforces my point, is where a very specific crescendo serves as a story’s entire purpose. Events conspire to drive a character or characters to some extremely unusual and rich momentary expression of what they are. I touched on this in a previous post. What matters here is not logical/intellectual meaning, or evolutionary transformation, or heroic accomplishment, but rather amazement, a demonstration of impossible beauty, an incredible and almost hypnotising Wow! moment that leaves you, as reader or audience member, speechless. These moments are the very point of the story, rather than some conclusion that answers all questions and restores comfort. They are designed to cause awe, to expose you to wonder such that you are reminded of the great power of reality. They are thus humbling experiences that also delight and inspire. But such crescendos, either presented in literature or occurring in real life, must also happen in a broader context. That context will be cyclical in some way, although that cyclicality need not be instrumental to a particular story or story structure.

In other words, there is no clash here, except perhaps in terms of cultural emphasis, style, and expectation.

So, even including non-cyclical patterns that appear to me to be just as fundamental as the cyclical – or co-fundamental –, a domain of questions now raises its head and begs to be answered: 

Must humans suffer epoch-changing suffering and violent brutality from time to time? If yes, does it therefore behoove us to ‘accept’ evil to be better able to respond to evil wisely?

Unpacked into more detail: Does complex society, aka civilisation – supposedly superior to primitive social forms and thus evidence of historical progress – require the specialisation that logically includes specialised leaders, and thus hierarchy, and thus systemic inter-group mistrust and enmity, and thus systemic scarcity as generated value is distributed unevenly, and thus a Hobbesian/Weberian monopoly on power to keep this fissiparous structure ‘stable’ over great tracts of time, monopoly power that is paradoxically constrained to bring about its own destabilisation via corruption as discussed above? 

Or, might we be justified in envisaging a healthier relationship with this cyclicality, and so a healthier – less turbulent – system at civilisational scale? Is China, for example, already like this (for all its faults)? Has China got the balance of individual and group interests about right after wild historical turbulence over the last 100 years or so, not to mention the last 5,000? 

I don’t know. 

I suspect we ought to be very careful when seeking out The Best Possible Social Structure; the exercise is too subjective, too intellectual, too academic, to translate cleanly to some globally realised Best Possible Outcome. The relationship between how individuals develop and mature within a culture, and the dizzyingly complex effects this has on that culture’s and nation’s historical progress, are so interwoven, inseparable and interdependent, the notion of cleanly exporting The Best System Out There to every other different nation/culture makes no sense to me. Which is why I am for multipolarity. 

The relevant question, in my view, is whether humans at the vast scale of nation or geopolitical bloc or indeed as a species can teach themselves to notice that wisdom has value beyond power, such that wisdom merits prominent and transparent attention and inquiry. If historical cyclicality of whatever stripe does indeed progress humanity in a spiralling manner, rather than simply repeat indefinitely without meaningful progress or evolution of our collective wisdom until some civilisation-ending cataclysm reboots the whole process, wisdom has to be real, capable of growth, and communicable – be encoded in myths, customs, stories, politics, etc. – from generation to generation.

At this blog, I have repeatedly argued that the West’s materialist paradigm is constrained to deem wisdom (and love, and health) as somehow inferior to hard, measurable phenomena, e.g. monetary profit, longevity, GDP and average IQs. This constellation of cultural reflexes that strongly prefers the measurable seems incapable of finding its way to an earnest, sustained and nuanced assessment of the trinity I have come to advocate at Econosophy after years of writing and research. By my logic, this tends the West to a kind of nihilistic/satanic quagmire of moral decay that is the rotten harvest of its systemic/structural obsession with power, as rooted in the way it manages its hierarchical structure, which, ultimately, is rooted in its humanistic materialism. A nihilistic wasteland of ugly emotions and potentially horrifying outcomes is what I see around me in an increasingly deranged Western world. And while mine is a poetic or aesthetic appeal rather than scientific or academic, humanity’s undeniable ability to experience and profoundly appreciate beauty – as suggested in the brief look at Japanese crescendo stories above – gives my advocacy a hint of ‘scientific’ validity (I like to think!). 

The sickness of moral decay is deemed sick for a reason; humans overwhelmingly prefer decency, trust, honesty, and dignity over mendacity, betrayal, tyranny, etc. We do not seek out bloody and destructive war at every conceivable opportunity and revel delightfully in it. The infamous Powers That Be are obliged to drag us kicking and screaming into the horrors of war, into its psychology-destroying terror. The infamous Powers That Be are forced by our nature to conceal their corrupt ugliness in skilfully crafted veneers of honour, loyalty and moral superiority to have a chance of initiating the wars they hunger for. Why? If humans are Hobbesian beasts, why does it take so much effort to corrupt us, deceive us, into war and violent debauchery?

In other words, I’m suggesting our very human longing for peaceful relations between nations and blocs is indicative of an (almost) inherent wisdom that we yearn to honour and further develop, just as we yearn for beauty for and good will amongst all. 

It seems to me that all we lack is a clear vision of how to go about it.

An alternative to power-based control?

Councillor Mothin Ali tackles a wheelie bin on its way to a bus-turned-pyre. Photo: Craig Gent/Novara Media

I see one group of British Asian men blaming Romanians for the disorder, which leads another group to chant “Romania! Romania!”. A Romanian woman and her neighbours argue back, saying they are trying to stop people joining in with the disorder, not contributing to it. A white English teenager comes away from the fracas claiming, apparently on the basis of a hunch, that the woman is some kind of Romanian nationalist. – Craig Gent, from a report on a recent riot in Leeds.

Though it seems impossible, the historical turbulence engulfing the world continues to intensify. Just when you think things cannot possibly get crazier, they get crazier. The whole world seems stretched taut, hyper-fragile, on the brink of collapsing into chaotic mania. (Or a mass awakening? Perhaps I have suggested this possibility too often.)

A recent riot in Leeds is a small example of how explosive things are. On the back of almost nothing, a bus and delivery van were set alight and destroyed, a police car seized and attacked. There appears to have been no sufficient trigger; apparently, a fairly innocuous event, which would normally pass unnoticed, somehow entangled itself in others that together managed to set things in motion that resulted in a wild and destructive riot.

But more important than the background tension that must have been largely responsible for all this, is how the Harehills community came together to deescalate the situation after riot police had withdrawn. Instead of falling victim to anger and recrimination, instead of shrinking back from the roving gangs of rioting youths, the community came together to take care of business. Wheelie bins were filled with water to help extinguish the various fires. Two of the ward’s councillors, Mothin Ali and Salm Arif, were instrumental in mediating between the various parties, chasing people away from adding fuel to the fires, and generally organising people into effective, spontaneous teams capable of keeping things under control.

Why do I find this relevant to this article? Because in a community of relative power equals, nobody can forestall correction for very long; corruption is much harder to sustain. Despite depression, grinding poverty and loneliness impacting negatively on the vitality and cohesion of a modern city’s community, it remains easier for those who do not fall victim to such dangers to stay sane, grounded, and wisely effective in a small community; it is impossible for anyone to amass monopoly power where intimate dialogue reigns.

Propaganda ends where dialogue begins”. Power seeks to divide and conquer, to atomise communities such that their wisdom – i.e. cohesion, vitality – is destroyed; success in this ignoble endeavour creates a richly varied attack surface on which fears, uncertainties and doubts can be sown and grown using multiple propaganda techniques. Healthy communities are thus non-state, non-power-based environments in which people’s natural authority can be nourished and used for the good of all; there is no monopoly on power threatened by it. By definition, no person or group can attain monopoly power; their presence would mean a small state of some kind, not a community. Power and natural authority are mutually exclusive. Even gang leaders must contend with intra- and inter-group competition that keeps them grounded, exposed to reality. At intimate scales, people know too much about each other for deceptive, myth-making propaganda of lasting effect – a requirement for establishing a state – to be possible. Propaganda is required to create the necessary cohesive sense of a people at scales approaching or beyond a nation; face-to-face dialogue is a wholly inappropriate method for establishing a state.

This does not mean small communities are perfect, that states are pure evil and without benefit, etc. It does not mean all riots the police abandon will play out as the recent Harehills’ riot progressed. But there is something about this one, with its mix of immigrant ethnicities and cultures mingling with Anglo-Saxon locals, a mix which should, if the parts of MSM are to be believed, be a potentially uncontrollable cocktail of aggression, suspicion and fear, that stands out for me. Instead of a generalised collapse of order and decency, this particular community came together and successfully handled a chaotic and dangerous situation in an anarchic way (natural authority is cherished in anarchist thought). Furthermore, there is something about the rich multi-ethnicity of Leeds generally, just as in this more local community specifically, that is at least somewhat redolent of our global challenge as a species. For me, this little story is evidence that humans, regardless of their cultural background, prefer peace, decency, natural authority, and dignity over the narcissistic, power-greedy, corrupt and loveless Western system that is the subject of this article. 

This is but one of many signs of hope for our long-term prospects as a species, and supportive evidence that the will to do what it takes to promote wisdom, love and health to the centre of social governance systems exists. I am convinced that humans are not Hobbesian beasts that can only revel in a permanent war of each against all. It’s just that the state’s powerful influence on human behaviour over several millennia sure does make it seem that way.

Conclusion

Addicted to dominion, power forestalls correction for as long as it can and is thus dysfunctional. Revering love, wisdom and health, humility welcomes correction and begets natural authority.

Mine is a very generalised perspective. Nothing in this article can be translated to policy. But as the world grows crazier in the wake of the West’s demise, two things become clearer and clearer to me. The first is that interdependent historical momenta are highly determinative of future stability in the sense of inertia. The second is that the combination of advanced societal specialisation and low-wisdom and low-free-will populations on the bedrock of that specialisation mean human imagination at large cultural scale is like historical inertia: almost immovable. But, like tectonic plates, explosions can occur. The safe bet is that change is slow and incremental. But epochal upheavals happen. We are living through a major upheaval, which is the implosion of accrued negative wisdom.

What I do not know is how it will play out. I’m just some guy. However, I strongly suspect there is a very large loss of credibility on the part of Western establishment, that this loss of credibility is precisely because of too much power and concomitant negative wisdom that have resulted in an ugly betrayal of those societal essences most precious to most humans: honour, dignity, decency, trust, etc. For me, the logic that flows from these strong intuitions points clearly to wisdom – as it related to love and health – as a good bet for a valuable future commodity in high demand. It’s simple: wisdom is at a very low point, and the yearning for societal health and decency is strong. Wisdom is needed for a return of beauty, for a life on earth most of us love to live.

If we want to minimise corruption, we have to hold power in check by mindfully developing our own humility. This is not a remotely startling or controversial statement, and yet the imminence of global catastrophe in the form of nuclear war suggests humanity has failed to honour this truth at sufficient breadth and depth. What startles is how power-based, corrupt dominion lords it over peoples everywhere mostly unchallenged by those so ruled. I speculate that a kind of generalised Stockholm Syndrome is responsible for our dissonant state of affairs, but that its hold is now quickly weakening. But, because the effort to minimise state power that is the US constitution is on the cusp of catastrophic failure, we Westerners – perhaps all humans – are compelled to face the sobering fact that taming power is not remotely easy at state level, just as the historical events that led to writing the US constitution were not easy. And yet we are called to tame state power nonetheless. 

These and other sobering facts open me to earnest contemplation of the viability of all humanity’s attempts to tame power and the corruption it must deliver. My openness obliges me to consider i.e. Chinese and Russian systems of governance, the former because of how long that nation has not been colonial, the latter also because of its longevity but also its recent experience with societal collapse. That said, my own preference is anarchism. My respect for humility, my intimate knowledge of my very limited capacities demand of me, however, that I not be an ideological zealot; I am open to all viable cultures and the wisdoms they must contain by virtue of their longevity, their hard-won successes. For example, I recall hearing the aboriginal Australian culture is 80,000 years old. Not too shabby!

Is civilisation possible without state power? I believe it is, but cannot prove it. I can only present my best reasoning on how to deal with corruption effectively. My reasoning unequivocally points to love, wisdom and health as fundamental to progressing beyond our many historical challenges. 

To repeat, sustaining humility mutually excludes amassing power; states must amass power. Including humility as a civilisational reflex or wisdom surely requires explicit governance architecture that reveres and nourishes it. What might this look like?

I only know that answers begin with genuine dialogue, which requires genuine humility and that this is something of a tautology. But how else could it be? The need is great because our cultural reflexes where humility and wisdom are concerned have atrophied greatly. We are constrained to begin with what we have and are.

Typically, it takes deep shock to break open defensive psychologies and calcified emotional states into the kind of openness a robust commitment to humility requires. Perhaps the shocks exploding about us like artillery shells, perhaps the horrors of war and the hideousness of state overreach are the shocks we need.

Which actual social-governance forms should or should not emerge in the wake of growing wisdom and humility should be left unaddressed for as long as possible; the first critical stage should be studiously ideology free. If we can manage that, at least in critical-mass numbers (5-20% of any given community or population), the practical bits and pieces of what we need to do will become apparent with mysteriously sweet timing.

(Part II)